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Rupert Goodwins

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Mixed Signals

Any sufficiently advanced information is indistinguishable from noise

Tuesday 9 January 2007, 11:36 PM

Apple iPhone - what's behind the curtain?

Posted by Rupert Goodwins

It's still good to know that the Jobs Unreality Field can operate cross-planet. I watched the live blogs unveiling the iPhone, and got quite indecently excited.

I got better.

The good things first: it makes every other phone on the planet look three years old (and the Zune look ten). It's got the iPod magic touch; the only reason you never saw this on Star Trek is because in the future, people won't be as smart as Steve Jobs and Jonathan Ive, CBE. It's thin and it's bright and it's colourful.

Those are the only things that are undeniably wonderful. They count for a lot, but they do not make something on which you want to spend £300.

The things that look good on stage but might go badly wrong in real life are more numerous.

First, battery life. "Five hours talk time, sixteen hours music playback", says Apple, and I don't believe it. It's not that I bear Apple any ill-will, it's just that every manufacturer of battery-powered gear chooses the most liberal way of measuring life that it can defend. In real life, we don't get that option. So, a phone that's flat at JFK if you listen to your music all the way from LHR. Mmm. One of the reasons no phone manufacturer has made a device quite like the iPhone is that everything that makes it special, eats battery. And there's a lot that makes the iPhone special.

Second, touch screens on mobile devices. These are bad because there's no tactile feedback - how you gonna change track when it's in your pocket? - and they get grubby. And they are less forgiving of fat fingers than Jamie Oliver is of a Turkey Twizzler. Apple is good at interfaces. It has also produced some stinkers. Which is this? We'll have to wait and see. The same goes for little details like text entry and web navigation.

Third, network provider. OK, Apple has gone for Cingular in the US because it's got the best GSM network - and this has to be a GSM phone (Actually, it has to be a 3G phone, but there's no point in Apple busting a gut on that right now. iPhone 2 will be 3G/HSxPA, ready for when there are enough for the rest of the world). But how is it going to do some of the funky network-dependent stuff (like random-access voicemail) on other service providers? Will it be a single provider in each territory?

Fourth: the five zillion technical details Apple has omitted to tell us. It runs "OS X" - well, why not. But OS X is whatever Apple wants it to be today. Is it a version recompiled for an ARM processor? Is it a seriously cut-down FreeBSD kernel with some heavily hacked network and UI bits? Java? Can we add more memory? What does it do with Apple's DRM? We don't know. There's no SDK, no word on the architecture: at the moment, it is a thoroughly closed system.

That's rather peculiar, and I think it must be because at its heart, the iPhone is running an unannounced processor. My best guess is that it's a new Core ultra ultra low power x86 device - and that's for four reasons.

First, it means so much less pain for Apple when the time comes to let developers in: the existing tools, experience and even some apps will port.

Second, Intel has the basic technology - and has promised - to produce just such a chip; it has been coy about the timeframe, but I saw the fundamentals at IDF at least a year ago.

Third, Intel sold its other low-power embedded technology, the ARM-based XScale, in the middle of 2006. At the time, I didn't really understand why: if the company is preparing to launch a direct competitor to ARM with equivalent or better low power and high performance, but x86 compatibility, I really understand why. The iPhone could easily be the poster child for this new chip.

Fourth, how much sweeter do you think this made the switch to Intel? If anyone has the Powerpoints from Otellini's last roadmap pitch to Jobs... well, you know my email.

That'll do for now. I think there'll be plenty more to talk about between now and June (or Q4 for us lucky Europeans, by which time there'll be at least five iPhone knock-offs in the channel. Betcha) - but for now, as they say about the very beautiful and the very ugly, it's what's on the inside that counts.

(It's started. Just as I was posting this, fellow gadget fiend DJ IM'd me this link which raises some delicious questions. Cisco owns the iPhone brand name, so Apple must have got permission, right? Right? Steve Jobs to the white courtesy iPhone, please. Paging Steve Jobs...)

Comments on this post

PeterI

It's certainly sexy but I'm definitely waiting until v2 with 3G happens before I'd even think about it.

Posted by PeterI on Jan 10, 2007 12:01 AM

mcross

According to this article on eetimes, PortalPlayer won the design for the iPhone processor, so it's probably (like all their other processors) an SoC with a couple ARM cores.

http://www.eetimes.com/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=195300035

or
http://tinyurl.com/yfrxav

Sounds like they have an embedded version of OS X ported to ARM...

Updated by mcross on Jan 10, 2007 12:46 AM

chris_henderson@btopenworld.com

Well, having watched the whole webcast I'm convinced that Apple will shake up the whole smartphone market.
As a 50 yr old it technology geek I know a winning product when I see it. Forget performance detractors with worries about battery life, look at the big picture.

Jobs has the concept right, and the key is the software delivery platform. I predict the device will be pervasive across the world in 3 years. Just look at all those fashion conscious iPod owners who have just discovered the next must have device. 10Million devices in 2008 will be an easy target to hit.

Updated by chris_henderson@btopenworld.com on Jan 10, 2007 4:40 PM

Rupert Goodwins

Interesting article, Mcross, although it's not definite - as it says, "Saying that the design win is not a certainty, FBR said it believes Apple has agreed to work with Nvidia on the concept and that it was a factor in Nvidia's decision to acquire PortalPlayer (San Jose, Calif.).".

I wonder what to read into Apple's very conservative (I think) predictions of a million sales in '08 - is that a sign of a new processor on a new process with uncertain delivery promises, or just a bill of parts which won't get down to a sensible price before '09?

R

Posted by Rupert Goodwins on Jan 10, 2007 6:45 AM

mcross

And now this morning, an Apple spokesman confirmed the processor is from Intel:

http://today.reuters.com/news/articleinvesting.aspx?view=CN&storyID=2007-01-10T091912Z_01_FAB012644_RTRIDST_0_INTEL-APPLE-IPHONE-URGENT.XML&rpc=66&type=qcna

or

http://tinyurl.com/yj3dc4


I think you're probably right on with it being a low power x86. My guess for the conservative prediction of 1m units in '07 is just setting expectations low for wall street. If they're announcing GA in june/july, they've got to be starting production very soon, so I would guess the processor is already available in quantity.

Posted by mcross on Jan 10, 2007 4:50 PM

Rupert Goodwins

I don't know what to believe from Apple, right now

"It's called the iPhone!" says Apple. "No, it's not." says Cisco
"It's got Intel inside!" says Apple. "No, it hasn't." says Intel

If Cingular turned around and said Apple had forgotten to set up the direct debit and the iDunno was being disconnected from the network, I wouldn't be at all surprised.

I wonder if Jobs is getting Hollywood and Silicon Valley mixed up. One of these two has plots you can't keep sending back to post-production until the storyline makes sense...

Posted by Rupert Goodwins on Jan 11, 2007 10:19 AM

Rupert Goodwins
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